Thursday, 15 November, 2018

Global warming to leave us crying in our costlier beer

Beer Climate Change Climate change could cause beer prices to soar - study
Grady Vargas | 19 October, 2018, 13:59

Barley is susceptible to drought and heat, and the extreme weather conditions in the coming years associated with global temperatures rising could trigger a 16% decline in global beer consumption, Business Insider reported. "The yield decreases anticipated in the paper are very small compared to what the historical data predicts about increases over time", Watson and Swersey say.Since that "beer prices are going to skyrocket due to climate change" article is getting a lot of visibility, note that their assumptions don't really track reality.

Steve Davis of the University of California, Irvine, and one of the studies authors says the beer research was done, in part, to drive home an unpalatable message that climate change is and will continue to mess with our daily lives.

"Climate change will affect all of us, not only people who are in India or African countries", coauthor Dabo Guan of the University of East Anglia in the United Kingdom tells Reuters.

For those who remain unmoved by dire climate reports and worsening hurricanes, a new warning has emerged: Climate change is coming for your beer.

The impact on beer prices could be gut-wrenching, the scientists have warned - and it'll be even worse in Ireland, with the price of a six pack shooting up £15. If this perspective is still struggling to convince some of the most important decision-makers when it comes to fighting climate change, a more unexpected effect could make them think twice.

In recent years, the beer industry worldwide consumed some 17% of global barley production. The issue stems from drought and excessive heat that could drastically reduce barley crop yields, a vital ingredient used to make beer. Some northern areas of the USA and Asia could see barely increases, but Guan says these will be minimal compared to losses.

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"However, if adaptation efforts prioritize necessities, climate change may undermine the availability, stability and access to "luxury" goods to a greater extent than staple foods". The world can see as much as a 17% decrease in the production of barley, which experts believe could DOUBLE the average cost of beer.

Even under the two middle-range climate models used in the study, beer consumption is forecast to fall by an average of around 2 billion liters in China alone.

"For perhaps many millennia, and still at present for many people, beer has been an important component of social gatherings and human celebration", the team said in their report.

"Although some attention has been paid to the potential impact of climate change on luxury crops such as wine and coffee, the impact on beer has not been carefully evaluated".

We know that climate change will mean less barley - but what about beer?

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