Saturday, 21 July, 2018

What will hurricane season 2018 bring? CSU researchers release predictions

Watch out Florida: Forecast predicts active 2018 hurricane season The 2018 Hurricane Season Could Be As Eventful As 2017, According To Forecasters
Charlie Simmons | 06 April, 2018, 04:10

- 38 percent for the Gulf Coast from the Florida panhandle westward to Brownsville (average for the last century is 30 percent) - 52 percent for the Caribbean (average for the last century is 42 percent) Hurricane season begins June 1 and ends November 30.

Researchers said a weak La Niña this past winter has weakened slightly over the past few weeks and while there is the potential that a weak El Niño could develop by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, the odds of significant El Niño development appear relatively low as well.

The forecast also predicts 14 storms that will be worthy of naming.

AccuWeather predicted in a report earlier this week six to eight hurricanes this season with three to five of those turning into major storms.

"Hurricanes have definitely gotten people's attention after what happened a year ago", Phil Klotzbach, a CSU research scientist, said in an interview Thursday.

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All are above the 30-year average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes.

Almost all the damage came from three major hurricanes - Harvey, Irma and Maria. "Look for storms to be stronger farther to the north and east than 2017". "That's one of the big questions that we have going forward is what El Niño is going to do".

"Spring is very volatile", Klotzbach said.

The National Hurricane Center will release its last update before the season in the upcoming days.

Irma cut a path of destruction from St. Martin into Florida. While those numbers are slightly above historical averages, they are less than a year ago. Government figures were not yet available for Maria, which decimated Puerto Rico, though some estimates put the death toll at more than 1,000 in the territory. The Caribbean islands, the eastern coast of the USA and some of central (Ontario), eastern (Quebec) and Atlantic Canada (New Brunswick, Nova Scotia) are the areas most affected by the storms. It's considered among some of the worst natural disasters to hit the islands.

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